Our in-form darts adviser Chris Hammer previews this week’s Apple Series of Darts Finals in Vienna and picks out his best affray bets.
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The blueprint to aftermost week’s profits at the European Championship was about opposing Michael van Gerwen and I’m activity to accept a agnate access at yet addition affray he aloof keeps winning.
Aside from Joe Cullen auspiciously acceptable his division at 7/1, I went in confidently on abetment anyone from the accomplished of the basal bisected of the draw to lift the bays in Dortmund at 11/4, which was consistently activity to attending a big amount appear the final as continued as MVG wasn’t in it. And he wasn’t. Steve West of all bodies accomplishing the job in annular two!
It was the aboriginal time MVG had absent in 12 affairs with the artisan Englishman, who has yet to win a PDC appellation in his career admitting adequate one of his best anytime seasons, while this shock 9/1 defeat concluded his 11-game acceptable band all-embracing that included appellation runs at the Apple Grand Prix and the final European Tour accident of the season.
Those trophies – his 17th and 18th of 2018 – silenced those who anticipation his ascendancy was on the abate but this latest agitated can’t be apparent as too abundant of a abruptness accustomed it’s happened at three added high-profile contest this year – the UK Open and Apple Matchplay – while he additionally slipped up at the Champions League of Darts.
I don’t agnosticism for one atom that his best is still consistently acceptable abundant to win but there affirmation is architecture up that a) he’s not at his best absolutely as abundant as he was and b) Players don’t accept to accept the aloft abhorrence agency adjoin him.
In the end James Wade went off bordering odds-on favourite to exhausted Simon Whitlock in the final and the Machine delivered us profits with a accomplished achievement beneath burden to acreage his aboriginal TV appellation aback 2014.
The aloft bet isn’t accessible for this ITV4-televised event, which runs from Friday to Sunday (November 4), but alike if it was the allowance wouldn’t be anywhere abreast as appetising accustomed Gary Anderson and Peter Wright are in the adverse bisected to the apple cardinal one.
The another is the ‘MVG vs the Field’ bazaar for which the closing is 5/6 but that doesn’t absorption me.
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* Max Hopp replaced Dawson Murschell, who withdrew due to illness
The Dutchman has won all three antecedent stagings of the Apple Series of Darts Finals, which is the acme of the six Apple Series contest which booty abode about the apple as darts continues expands its horizons, but with the quarters, semis and final actuality best of 19 and 21 legs, the brand of Gary Anderson, Peter Wright, Rob Cross and Mensur Suljovic won’t be ashamed if they appear up adjoin him.
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In agreement of acrimonious out my bets in Vienna, I’ll go through anniversary division afresh baddest an absolute champ and a brace of 100/1 specials.
Daryl Gurney flopped at the European Championship aback accident to Ricky Evans in the aboriginal annular but I adorned him to animation aback at absolutely a acceptable 5/1.
He has a catchy first-round bout with Steve Beaton on Friday night which is alone best of 11 legs but if he comes through that he’ll appear up adjoin European Championship runner-up Simon Whitlock.
You could say the Wizard is on a aerial afterwards such a acceptable weekend, which included a win over Peter Wright, but ultimately he fell abbreviate and maybe those efforts took a lot out of him.
Up abutting will apparently be Peter Wright if he comes through a acceptable second-round affray with Gerwyn Amount but Snakebite has absent a little anatomy aback extensive the Apple Grand Prix final while Gurney did exhausted him in this accident in the abode aftermost year.
If they do accommodated again, you’ll charge to apperceive that Wright has baffled him alert in 2018 but Gurney did win the aboriginal and the others were two draws in the Premier League. So not abundant amid them.
(Written afore Chisnall’s adversary Dawson Murschell withdrew due to affliction and after replaced by Max Hopp)
I absolutely had a dream aftermost night that Dave Chisnall wins this accident for his aboriginal TV appellation and boy was it emotional! I don’t usually (ever?) dream about able darts players so apprehend into that what you will!
Joking aside, I was as aghast as abounding darts admirers aback he was clumsy to acquisition his best adjoin Gerwyn Amount at the European Championship at a date aback MVG and Peter Wright had already been agape out and charge accept acquainted he had a aureate befalling on his hands. Abnormally accustomed he was in the ‘softer’ bisected of the draw and nailed a showstopping 157 checkout in a chief leg to exhausted Adrian Lewis. Wow!
If he can affected alarming Canadian alien Dawson Murschell over 11 legs on Friday, he’ll appear up adjoin Gary Anderson which seems alarming but I’m not abiding whether we should apprehend a beginning and accursed up Flying Scotsman or a decayed one accustomed he’s alone played one affray aback ‘that’ bad defeat to Daryl Gurney at the Apple Grand Prix. Chizzy has played in four and continues to appearance signs he’s accepting aback to about abreast his best.
Admittedly the St Helens thrower hasn’t baffled Anderson aback the summer of 2016 and has absent bristles and fatigued already in the six matches since, but I can’t advice but anticipate this could be a added ideal time to booty on the apple cardinal four than usual.
After that he’ll added than acceptable be up adjoin either Michael Smith, who is additionally a appropriate bet at 3/1 to win this division if you’re borderline of Chizzy, or Ian White and neither amateur does he accept any brainy barriers against.
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Following the bearing of his son Arthur two weeks ago, James Wade promised he was activity to be a dangerous, motivated amateur afresh who enjoys his darts. And abiding abundant he was right!
Almost bristles abundantly difficult years had gone by aback his aftermost televised aloft at the Masters in January 2014 but about as anon as he becomes a blessed dad he wins the European Championship in Dortmund and rises up to sixth in the apple rankings.
He showed the amazing angry spirit like the old Wade too, advancing through two final-leg deciders adjoin Gerwyn Amount and home favourite Max Hopp, who led 10-8 and absent three bout darts, afore a hard-fought achievement over Simon Whitlock in the final.
However that weekend has absolutely taken a lot out of him and I’d apprehend him to appear unstuck in the additional annular adjoin Austrian brilliant Mensur Suljovic, who is arena in advanced of his home admirers in Vienna and additionally won a Apple Series accident in Germany beforehand this year.
The Gentle, who has won two PDC titles this year, deeply defeated Wade en avenue to the Apple Grand Prix semi-finals beforehand this ages and I anticipate it’s fair to address off his shock first-round defeat to Cristo Reyes at the European Championship off as a blip.
Suljovic is 15/8 to win this division and to allowance the accord he’ll apparently accept to defeat Rob Cross although the apple best could acquisition himself in crisis adjoin either Jamie Lewis or Dimitri Van den Bergh in annular two.
I wouldn’t be adjoin to anyone demography a adventitious on ascent brilliant van den Bergh in this division at 10/1, abnormally because he thrashed Suljovic 4-0 in the Apple Championship. But the Austrian got his animus in the final of the aloft Apple Series accident in Germany, acceptable 8-2.
As for Rob Cross, he’s still not arena how he wants to be and he’s not abundant amount at 6/4.
Raymond Van Barneveld
I won’t absorb too abundant time on division four because it’s basically, you’d assume, activity to appear bottomward to Michael van Gerwen v Raymond van Barneveld.
There’s not abundant added to say on MVG so what about Barney? We haven’t abundant best darts from the Dutchman in the big contest this year although he did win the Apple Cup with van Gerwen and additionally exhausted his accessory on that absonant Premier League Darts night in Rotterdam.
Apart from that, Barney has absent six of the aftermost seven ‘Dutch derbies’ including this year’s Masters and Auckland Darts Masters finals, which agency he still hasn’t won an alone appellation aback the 2014 Premier League.
As I mentioned earlier, MVG isn’t allowed from shock defeats anymore so abetment van Barneveld at 4/1 wouldn’t be after out. However, I anticipate it’s added acceptable the apple cardinal one will lose in the semi-final or final adjoin one of the accepted in-form giants of the game.
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Mensur Suljovic 20/1 each-way (1/3 aboriginal two places)
Suljovic v Chisnall final at 100/1
Suljovic v Gurney final at 100/1
With all the aloft in mind, I’m activity to ancillary with Mensur Suljovic each-way to affirmation an affecting achievement in advanced of his own fans.
He’s a big amount at 18/1 mainly because he’s in the aloft bisected of the draw as van Gerwen but in one of these baby acreage tournaments arranged abounding of brilliant talent, no bisected would be easy.
If he can ability the final he won’t abhorrence anyone except conceivably Gary Anderson who has baffled him four times in a row. That said his apathetic appearance still makes activity difficult for the Flying Scotsman, who alone aloof won 21-19 in that ballsy Apple Matchplay final.
Should he accommodated Peter Wright afresh he’ll accept the aplomb alive that he’s won bristles of their aftermost six meetings, admitting the alone defeat advancing so heartbreakingly at the Apple Grand Prix semi-finals, while he’s got appealing acceptable annal adjoin either Gurney or Chisnall.
I’m aloof activity to abandon a brace of baby abstract bet in there, because if my division bets appear in and Suljovic does ability the final, afresh it makes faculty aloof to booty a adventitious on him affair either amateur there at a huge 100/1.
1pt Daryl Gurney to win aboriginal division at 5/1
1pt Dave Chisnall to win the additional division at 6/1
1pt each-way Mensur Suljovic to win the appellation at 20/1 (1/2 1,2)
0.5 pts Suljovic v Chisnall final at 100/1
0.5pts Suljovic v Gurney final at 100/1
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